η μιζερια,το να μενεις πισω και να μη κοιτας μπροστα…
ειναι μοναχα ενα παιχνιδι του μυαλου
^^ Αυτό κάνω διαρκώς. Αισταδιάλα πια.
Α, και…
[SPOILER]Στο “μου αρέσει” συνειδητοποίησα ότι έχω αφήσει 24 μηνύματα…
ενώ στο “μου τη σπάει” 130… τα συμπεράσματα δικά σας! :lol:[/SPOILER]
Εσύ πρέπει να βγάλεις συμπεράσματα για τον εαυτό σου ξινή.
Γυρεύοντας πας να το φας το κεφάλι σου, βλαμμένε. :lol:
… η σημερινή τηλεόραση.
παλιά έβλεπες απο θρίλερ στις 9μιση, μεχρι το τουτι φρουτι. τώρα τίποτα.
As Governor Christie said, when asked on Fox News on Tuesday whether he would tour stricken parts of his state with the Republican nominee, have no idea, nor am I the least bit concerned or interested. I got a job to do here in New Jersey that much bigger ??? than presidential politics, and I could care less about any of that stuff. out the video of him praising President Obama on Fox News earlier.
Ohio and Virginia seem to be following the trend of Pennsylvania (there are no polls available that have Romney leading in that state); this is clearly a worrying sign for the Republican challenger campaign team. Florida continues to be close to call but the hasn managed to put the state into the red column; I continue to hold that the seniors and Latinos will come out in strong numbers for Obama and keep it blue.
The path to victory for Governor Romney looks so complicated, and often unnavigable, that it is hard to see how he can stage a victory in the electoral college. Superstorm Sandy really may have finally sunk Mitt battleship; the final push over the weekend will show the true state of the race.
My apologies, to all those who checked in on this site over the past few days, for the time since my last blog post although I hope that the various videos have both kept you entertained and informed. Starting a new job here in London can be rather hectic.!
Superstorm Sandy has made herself known all across the East Coast in the past few days, leaving dozens dead and millions without power across a raft of states. President Obama was quick to suspend his campaign, declaring the states of New York and New Jersey disaster areas to enable them to receive emergency federal funding, before heading back to Washington to closely monitor the situation as well as speaking directly with elected officials, Republican and Democrat alike, in the affected areas. In possibly one of his greatest coups of the election, President Obama will today tour the damage in New Jersey with the state Republican Governor Chris Christie.
We now into the final stretch of the 2012 US Presidential Election and, this time next week, we should know who will be sitting in the White House for the next four years. Barring, obviously, any last-minute debacles such as the recounts ??? in Florida in 2000.
Quickly looking at the national polls (separate blog post to follow on this), I still confident of an Obama victory on November 6th. Perhaps not as large as predicted, I need to ??? revisit the polling data in depth, the electoral college should still swing for Obama; the popular vote remains to be seen. Ipsos/Reuters have conducted a poll (with the largest sample size of any recently taken) between the 26th and 30th October that places Obama ahead by a point which echoes that of a CBS/Times poll over the same period and a UPI/CVOTER that shows the same data. Only a few days ago Governor Romney had enjoyed a lead nationally of up to 5% in some polls; this was mostly buoyed by significantly strong support in the southern states. The change of the trends in the data might reflect growing support for the President in some of the more crucial swing states; the picture is not yet clear.
I want to look at four battleground states in particular; Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, and Virginia. In Florida three recent polls (JZ Analytics/Newsmax, PPP, and Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS) all have President Obama leading by a percentage point. Every single poll, with the exception of a Rasmussen study, has the President leading by at least 2 points and in some cases by a margin as wide as six points. Two recent polls in North Carolina (PPP, Elon) have Obama and Romney on exactly level-pegging in a state that should have been a clear win for the Republican candidate whereas, in Virginia, 7 out of the 10 most recent polls are plumping for Obama by margins of between +2% and +5%.
I think it worth pointing out that, as a candidate seeking the Republican part nomination, Governor Romney said that he would seek to return federal money back to the individual states and shut down FEMA, the Federal Emergency Management Agency, that is swinging into action to support New York and New Jersey after Sandy. Indeed, when asked the question by reporters at leasteleven timeswhilst today, the Governor would neither confirm nor deny that he would dismantle FEMA as President. Have a look at the video yourself:
Governor Chris Christie
federal government’s response has been great. I was on the phone at midnight again last night with the president, personally, he has expedited the designation of New Jersey as a major disaster area. gave me his number at the White House and told me to call him if I needed anything. from the man who has made no efforts over the last four years to hide his dislike of the President, the resounding support for Barack Obama from Chris Christie is incredible. Coupled with his determination to be the President at this time of crisis, and Mitt Romney dogged attempts to turn the storm into a political event (especially in the key battleground state of Ohio), Obama has an opportunity to show millions of Americans exactly ??? why he is the Commander-in-Chief.
Governor Christie is not just a Republican however; he, as keynote speaker at the Republican National Convention in August, has been the party critic-in-chief of the Obama administration and is widely being touted at the 2016 Republican presidential candidate should Mitt fail this tie around.
Campaign Reform on the State Level
Some states limit contributions from individuals to PACs and from PACs to candidates. Unions and corporations are heavily monitored and limited in their influence, with Texas and Alaska prohibiting them from spending on a candidate’s behalf altogether. The same holds true for all radio and print advertising.
While states are generally bolder in their reform attempts, there are still many shortcomings. Many states do not have the money to support public funding of elections, and enforcement agencies are often understaffed and overworked. Candidates who cheat the system rarely draw penalty and are almost never criminally prosecuted.
ColoΒrado passed an aggressive piece of legislation in 2002 called Amendment 27. This finance reform initiative included caps on spending and contributions, as well as full γ?Άγ?³γ?―γ?¬γ?Όγ?«γ?³γ?Όγ?? γ?¬γ??γ?£γ?Όγ?Ή disclosure of funds. Wealthy special interest groups were held in check by the measure, forcing candidates to work for a broad base of supporters instead of getting huge checks from a smaller pool. It also attempted to curb “attack ads” on the opposition by requiring candidates to personally stand behind their ads. Soon after, the opposition introduced legislation that would have rendered Amendment 27 useless, but grassroots efforts and a unified media campaign kept these provisions from being approved [source: Common Cause].
It’s clear when looking at campaign finance reform that America’s local communities are leading the charge. history, states have often been ahead of federal efforts, leading former Supreme Court Justice Louis Brandeis to label them “laboratories of reform” [source: Open Secrets]. California, New York and Massachusetts implemented disclosure laws well ahead of the federal government. In 1909, Colorado passed the nation’s first public funding system, only to jpsmoncler.com have it ruled unconstitutional just one year later. Americans would have to wait 60 years to see another public funding plan [source: Common jpsmoncler.com Cause].
Vermont passed a controversial law called Act 64 in 1997 that put a mandatory cap on spending and contributions to candidates and PACs. However, this groundbreaking measure was met with opposition on the federal level and overturned by the Supreme Court in 2006 on the precedent of Buckley v. Valeo [source: Duke Law].
ΒToday, each state has control of its own campaign finance regulations, and some states have passed radical laws that govern their elections. Thirty states have made substantial changes γ?Άγ?³γ?―γ?¬γ?Όγ?« to their campaign finance laws in the last 15 years. Maine has pushed for public financing for all elections. Washington state requires online spending disclosure. Many states have lobbied for shorter campaign periods, voluntary spending limits and contribution caps with great success. By making spending limits voluntary, states are able to avoid violating the terms of the Buckley v. Valeo ruling [source: Hoover Institution].
Story: more beers! Obama shares White House home brew
if you could send me a copy autographed by the President, you be the coolest FOIA officer in the whole federal government, and who could resist that title? from TODAY Food:
The White House is exempt from FOIA requests, something the filer seemed to acknowledge in his posts on the online forum, Reddit:
personal notebook or an email about ingredients probably doesn’t fall under the definition of in FOIA, but a brewing manual or recipie [sic] book or something like that which is used to train others WOULD be a responsive document. If I’m lucky, that’s what I’ll get the filer also admitted he was hoping a little flattery would help his pursuit. He boldly ends his letter with the following request:
should know that I am requesting this as a home ??? brewer and for the education of other home brewers not for commercial use, he writes.
A bottle of White House Honey Ale beer is in the Green Room of the White House on Feb. 6, 2011.
Obama revealed last week while stumping in Iowa that he stocks ??? his campaign bus with White House-made brew, which include honey ale, honey blonde and honey porter. The collection reportedly uses honey made from Michelle Obama beehive.
Pete Souza / White House Photo
the recipe for the Honey Ale home brewed at the White House, cries one petition launched on the White House the People website.
FOIA filed for Obama’s homebrewed beer recipe
Another beer lover went further and demanded the White House beer recipes through the Freedom of Information Act, or a FOIA request.
Within days of the revelation, the petition seeking the beer recipes went up. However, it needs 25,000 signatures by Sept. 17 ??? to receive an official response. As of this posting Wednesday morning, they had 2,073.
Barack Obama, famous for ??? the Beer Summit, seems to enjoy the occasional pilsner or porter. Now, beer aficionados are foaming at the mouth to get a taste of his White House brews.
Many polling averages now include polls from Rasmussen Reports and Gallup. Rasmussen released a daily national tracking poll which greatly influences the prognostications of many pundits. Indeed, much of the conservative will consult only Rasmussen when making their predictions.
Three reasons Obama may be doing better than the polls are showing
Conservatives often cite Gallup because their national polls have shown Romney with a national Woolrich Boulder Donna lead of five points or more. However, Gallup stopped releasing polls after Hurricane Sandy hit New York City. It is quite possible that more recent polls from Gallup would show Obama gaining as many other polls have. Secondly, Gallup is largely considered an outlier among the polls. Almost every other pollster either has the race tied, or Obama with a small lead. Even Rasmussen Reports currently has the national race tied.
The problem is that there is a good deal of evidence to suggest that both Gallup and Rasmussen are wrong.
First let us examine Rasmussen. In many swing states Rasmussen is the only pollster showing Romney anywhere close to Obama. Is it possible that Rasmussen is right and every else is wrong? Yes, there is always that possibility. However, the more likely scenario is that Rasmussen is the outlier. A 2010 study done by American Research Group found that in 2010 Rasmussen was the least accurate organization of the eleven pollsters they evaluated. Another study by Nate Silver of the New York Times found that Rasmussen was not only wrong, but also bias in favor of Republican candidates. When comparing Rasmussen’s polls to the actual election results, Silver found that Rasmussen routinely overestimated the performance of Republican candidates by three-to-five points.
Hispanics have made up an ever increasing portion of the overall electorate in recent years. Millions of Americans either prefer to speak or Woolrich Outlet speak Spanish only. However, almost all the polls are now conducted in English only, which potentially excludes a huge portion of the population from their sample. In 2008 President Obama won 67 percent of the Hispanic vote, compared to only 31 percent for Sen. McCain. Obama is expected to again win the Hispanic vote this year.
The problem for pollsters is that it is much more expensive to reach cell phone users. As a result, many pollsters like Rasmussen Reports exclude cell phone users from their samples. A study Woolrich Outlet by Nate Silver of the New York Times found that Obama generally performed better in polls that included cell phone only users in their sample. This makes logical sense since cell phone only users tend to be younger, and the younger demographic tends to favor Obama. If the current set of polls are not including enough cell phone only users it could mean that Obama will perform better than the polls suggest.
With most polls showing President Obama now leading nationally and in the key swing states, Republicans are holding out hope that the polls are all wrong and that Romney is actually winning. However, what has not been discussed much is the possibility that the polls are underestimating President Obama’s support. Here are three reasons Obama may actually do better on Election Day than the polls suggest.
Many pollsters try to accommodate for what they know is Spanish-speaking problem by adjusting their numbers. But if pollster are underestimating the amount of Spanish speakers who will go to the polls this Tuesday, it could mean Obama will do better than the polls are projecting, especially in states like Florida.
An increasing portion of the American population now uses a cell phone only, getting rid of their old landline. Woolrich Parka Uomo According to the Center for Disease Control, 32 percent of Americans now use a cell phone only, and that number is estimated to be somewhere around 37 percent this year.
…που μένω σχετικά μακριά απο το κέντρο…
θελω να κανω μια βολτα
Που ξαφνικά το winamp πείσμωσε και δεν θέλει να παίξει. 1 λεπτό το βάζω να παίξει ένα κομμάτι και κλείνει μόνο του βγάζοντας καρτέλα για σφάλμα. Μου έχει σπάσει τα νεύρα, σε τέτοιο βαθμό που άνοιξα το windows media player.
Γαμάει το Media Player.
…η υγρασία. Τι 83% μέσα στο σπίτι ρε ?! Που είμαι ναπουμε, σε κανα ψαροκάικο στο Αιγαίο?
Το καλό είναι ότι έτσι δε χρειάζεται να πίνω νερό. Το αναπνέω :!:
Που να είχες και άσθμα! Εκεί να βλεπες!
…ή αρθριτιδα
Μου τη σπαει που δε μπορω να τραγουδησω 2 τονους πιο ψιλα.
κατέβασε τον τόνο στην κιθάρα:p
αυτό που γίνεται με τον αλίτιζ και την λαϊβάρα και όλο αυτό το αστείο που δεν είναι αστείο, είναι απλά τραγικό.
ποτέ δεν πίστευα ότι θα πήγαιναν 900 άτομα θεσσαλονίκη και 700 άτομα αθήνα
Αίσχος.